Look at the fixtures for Stoke and Aston Villa; they each have three matches against fellow strugglers. So, whilst some teams are bound to pick up points, they cannot all pick up maximum points.
Sun 14 Apr 2013 Stoke v Man Utd 14:05
Sat 20 Apr 2013 QPR v Stoke 15:00
Sat 27 Apr 2013 Stoke v Norwich 15:00
Sat 4 May 2013 Sunderland v Stoke 15:00
Sun 12 May Stoke v Tottenham 15:00
Sun 19 May Southampton v Stoke 16:00
Aston Villa v Fulham Sat 13 Apr 15:00
Man Utd v Aston Villa Mon 22 Apr 20:00
Aston Villa v Sunderland Mon 29 Apr 20:00
Norwich v Aston Villa Sat 4 May 15:00
Aston Villa v Chelsea Sun 12 May 15:00
Wigan v Aston Villa Sun 19 May 16:00
Wigan can do enough to stay up – though it might go to the final game again.