- This topic has 13 replies, 9 voices, and was last updated 12 years, 5 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
TO STAY UP !
CAN WE MANAGE THAT FROM OUR NINE REMAINING GAMES ?
Think Sunderland have a really tough run in; but would love Newcastle to take a tumble now, even more than I do West Ham !
With the top of the league done and dusted, the attention will be on the bottom.
Latics v Villa
The £100 million game.
Things like this always happen at the end of every season, I for one hope it doesn’t come to that.
With the top of the league done and dusted, the attention will be on the bottom.Latics v Villa
The £100 million game.
Things like this always happen at the end of every season, I for one hope it doesn’t come to that.
I’m hoping we’re well safe by then. Really don’t fancy the trip home from London with a hangover.
i said to a mate of mine that starting with newcastle we had potentially 5 “winnable”
games coming up. Thats now changed with city being thrown in as a rearranged game, but that aside; they are games we could win.NORWICH – W
qpr – W
City – L
Spam – D
SPURS – D
wba – L
SWANSEA – W
Arsenil – L
VILLA – WGives us 41 points :woohoo: goodpost
Easy game sitting behind a keyboard
3 wins…..3 draws…..3 loses…….simple
My benchmark for this has never been based on who we have to play (time and time again it’s just too unpredictable), but what the ratio of results to losses is likely to be – and then hope, due to the unpredictability of who we play that we buck that ratio.
Year after year I’ve observed that the teams hovering above and below the relegation line typically win and draw a similar number of games, and combined that amounts to the same number of games that they lose.
As such, over 38 games that (conservatively) gives you 9 wins, 10 draws and 19 losses = 37 points (I always have more draws than wins if the number is odd)
With 9 games remaining, we should therefore (conservatively) expect to win 2, draw 2 and lose 5 = 8 points = 35 points
(I always have more losses if the number of games remaining is odd)So 35 points is what we can realistically expect.
If we win our next game then it becomes 2 2 4 = 38
If we draw it becomes 2 2 4 = 36
If we lose it becomes 2 2 4 = 35Only once that realistic benchmark is set can you really start to “analyse” the upcoming game and the chance of us bucking the trend.
Yep, science and logic goes out of the window towards t’end of season ;)
I’ve made my
wild guessespredictions but I’d put a few quid on getting all 9 wrong :silly:eg, we’ll prob loose 3-0 at QPR then win 1-0 at City…we’re that sort of team lol
Im not a betting man, if I was I’d have £50 quid on us staying up AND winning the Cup…Bobbys got about £2million on it after all :woohoo:
The media can laugh at us all they like, fook the lot of em….I believe in fate. 25 yrs Wimbledon, 40 yrs Blunderland….the 2 biggest upsets…BOTH managed by Bobby/Bob….
I’ll get back to me bottle of red…. goodpost
I believe in fate. 25 yrs Wimbledon, 40 yrs Blunderland….the 2 biggest upsets…BOTH managed by Bobby/Bob….1985 – Win the Freight Rover
14 years later – 1999 – Win the Auto Windscreens Shield
14 years later – 2013 – ?exactly :SHa, now that made me laugh, Bicky. I can just see you scratching your head reading that ;)
With 4 games to go, by my above reckoning we can realistically expect 4 more points:
1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses = 36 points, which is 1 point better than 9 games ago.
But, by the same reckoning Villa will end up on 38. Which means realistically we need 2 more wins and a better GD, or 2 wins and a draw to stay up.
It’s still doable.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
